Stephen Andrew Bright wrote on Sun, 21 February 2010 08:19 |
(...) For me, the market is not an accurate predictor or the real value of mics.
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Fair enough that you don't think the free market determines the true value of a recording tool. That then begs the question: if not the market, then what is your preferred indicator for the true value in a mic, and how can the general buying public benefit from your better valuation model?
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For me, there is plenty of room in finding amazing deals on vintage mics that are currently undervalued - like SDCs.
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For the benefit of readers, please list some of these undervalued models. In the Neumann line, I cannot find a single mic that is undervalued: All KM8x in decent shape are now well above $1k; KM5x: astronomical.
Yes, you can still get an AKG 451 for a few hundred dollars, but its application range in the studio environment is and always was rather limited.
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Also, Klaus' pricing theory does not seem to account for overpaying. How can you tell when a fool has been separated from his money, or when the price for an item really should be this high?
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Nothing easier than that: you average sale (not asking!) prices of a used mic model over a few months.
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The problem with vintage mic pricing theory is: how do you explain the fact that these very same mics were tossed in the dumpster 20 or so years ago??? Were they so bad back then that they needed to be trashed
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No, they were never any worse than they are now. The (relatively short-lived) price erosion of vintage mics can be explained with two factors:
1. large, government-owned and funded European broadcast institutions auctioned off ALL of their tube mics in the early to mid 1970s because they were deemed "outdated" by the bean-counters. These auctions were an aberration of the free market: massive amounts of precious mics were dumped at low-or no-limit prices, due to a complete lack of incentive on the seller's side to try to sell at current market prices. Simply put: these sales were handled as write-offs.
Curiously, as soon as these auctioned (basically free) mics hit the shores of the U.S., after their importation by smart business people (most of them well-known and still active in the mic business today), their prices, now determined by real, undistorted market conditions, multiplied many-fold.
2. There is always a time lag between the introduction of an inferior successor hyped as technical advancement and the recognition by the public of the fact that the successor may be a dud: VW made a very-well built Passat model (B5.5) through 2005. In 2006 they introduced the successor. It took two years for the used market to reflect the inferiority of the B6 model, and for the prices of the B5.5 to creep upwards. Now, the successor, newer and fancier in may ways, can be had for the same or less than its five- or more-years-old predecessor.
From the world of microphones, I could just cite the examples of the C12 vs. C12A or the U67 vs. U87 to make the same point: Initially, the successor was thought to be an advancement over the predecessor, until the market thought (and still thinks) otherwise.